It is that time of season again where we get to the nitty gritty of Premier League relegation. However this season has started to fizzle out when it comes to possibility of excitement on final day. Normally we have 1 team that is all but gone and then about 5 or 6 that could go down. Well we have analysed the league table and final games that all teams in the bottom have to play and we have decided that it is pretty much a 2 horse race.
I can hear you saying, but 3 teams go down. Yes they do but let’s look at the teams currently in the relegation zone, Sunderland, Middlesbrough and Swansea who all have less than 30 points. Then the teams above, Hull, Palace, Bournemouth and West Ham all have in excess of 30 points. Although with the number of points left to play for, all teams can technically escape relegation Sunderland and Middlesbrough look in serious trouble without a win in their last 5 games. Which will leave us with no North East derby in the Premier League next season. Lets be honest though, Sunderland have had enough lucky escapes and if you flirt with the devil he will soon catch you.
As for the teams above, it looks as though big Sam has pulled off his magic once again. They have won a whopping 4 out of their last 5 games putting them joint second in the form table. Bournemouth and Hull are also picking up points at a fairly steady pace but Hull are 4 points behind Bournemouth and we believe this is just to far to overcome this late in the season.
Who Are The Horses?
We believe the 2 horses are Hull City and Swansea City with Middlesbrough and Sunderland finished from the Premier League. Let’s look at what the odds of the teams involved and what the bookies think about the drop.
The two teams we believe are gone (Sunderland and Boro) have very short odds to go down. All bookies are offering 1/100 and 1/25 respectively meaning they are following our thoughts that both teams are doomed. The bookies are also with us when it comes to the teams above Hull City with nothing shorter than 20/1 available.
Our 2 horses, Hull City and Swansea come in close to evens with Hull being the better off than the two. You can get 6/4 for Hull to go down while Swansea are odds on at 4/5. The Welsh side would also be our top tip to go down given they have only managed 1 point from their last 5 games and still a trip to Man Utd in the offing.